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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings46%10389
21Pistons54%10599
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
40
31
20
6
3
1
1
1
1
1
5
4-6
67%
8-18
6-12
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
39
34
19
4
8
1
1
0
5
1
3
7-9
78%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
0-4
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
38
29
13
14
1
1
1
6
5
3
11
3-6
50%
5-15
7-13
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
25
28
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
22
20
6
8
0
3
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
23
8
0
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
21
19
10
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
14
24
3
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-5
20%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
12
26
9
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
1-1
100%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
5
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.0
6
0
0-1
43%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
3
0
0-1
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.9
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.9
40
33
11
7
3
5
1
1
1
2
5
1-1
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.6
33
33
15
8
0
0
1
5
2
5
3
3-4
75%
6-9
6-10
67%
62%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.3
33
35
24
8
2
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-4
50%
8-15
7-14
53%
50%
2-2
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.8
30
35
6
12
3
0
1
1
3
1
11
2-2
100%
2-6
7-14
33%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.5
28
32
5
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
3-8
0%
44%
1-7
14%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
32
21
23
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.2
22
21
8
0
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.0
15
9
5
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.1
8
8
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
5
0
1-1
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
4
0
0-1
48%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
46%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.9
1
0
0-0
52%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.