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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks
85
6Warriors
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
35
37
15
3
2
2
2
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
5-10
6-12
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
30
32
12
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
4-4
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
30
29
13
2
5
0
1
0
6
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
26
30
0
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
20
19
8
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
4-6
67%
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
22
23
10
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
2-5
40%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
16
16
9
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.4
16
2
0
1
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
40%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
15
11
8
8
1
1
1
0
2
4
4
2-4
50%
3-10
2-4
30%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
15
5
5
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
7
22
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
5
8
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
4
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
2
0
0-3
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.3
30
19
15
10
1
0
1
1
1
2
8
1-2
50%
7-9
2-4
78%
55%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
29
30
6
10
1
0
1
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
3-8
7-13
38%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
26
29
4
3
5
0
1
2
1
2
1
0-2
0%
2-2
3-5
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
24
27
14
3
1
1
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
22
29
10
2
4
3
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
1-5
20%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.0
26
21
9
3
8
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
3-5
60%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.4
22
13
19
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
3-6
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
20
27
13
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
18
22
6
6
3
3
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35.4
15
14
6
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26.6
5
5
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nemanja Nedovic
G · 6'3" 192 · 22.7
5
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.8
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.