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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings64%107115
3076ers36%10398
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
37
36
20
5
6
4
1
0
4
0
5
11-12
92%
3-6
6-11
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
35
34
27
7
5
2
2
0
4
4
3
16-19
84%
4-9
7-13
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
31
20
5
6
1
2
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
28
26
15
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
3-5
60%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
27
32
19
12
2
1
2
0
5
3
9
5-7
71%
7-16
8-15
44%
50%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
27
20
4
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
26
20
14
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
2-4
50%
6-10
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
15
15
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
8
8
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
3
21
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.0
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
3
0
0-1
52%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.9
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
39
36
16
6
3
0
2
0
3
1
5
6-8
75%
5-14
7-13
36%
53%
0-4
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.4
38
33
13
7
2
0
2
1
7
1
6
2-3
67%
4-11
5-12
36%
46%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
31
31
17
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
5-9
56%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
31
22
20
10
3
3
1
2
3
5
5
10-11
91%
5-12
3-6
42%
49%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.9
28
21
5
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
24
27
10
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
13
15
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
10
8
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.8
10
11
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
10
13
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
7
12
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
3
0
0-1
48%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.5
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.