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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies55%9690
20Pelicans45%9488
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.1
39
32
15
9
4
1
1
1
4
2
7
5-6
83%
5-11
6-11
45%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
33
29
16
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
5-6
83%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.7
33
32
13
9
2
0
1
1
3
7
2
3-4
75%
5-12
6-13
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
23
26
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-5
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.0
20
21
6
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
27
22
8
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.2
25
23
13
4
1
3
1
1
1
1
3
5-6
83%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
15
19
6
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
13
6
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.8
7
8
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.0
5
19
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
4
0
0-1
45%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
4
0
1-1
53%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.0
39
36
29
10
2
1
1
4
1
2
8
11-11
100%
9-14
8-15
64%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
36
17
10
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
0-6
2-4
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.3
30
25
12
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
25
16
8
8
0
3
1
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.8
18
14
2
4
0
2
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
55%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
28
22
14
0
9
2
1
0
4
0
0
3-3
100%
4-9
2-6
44%
43%
1-3
33%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
26
22
0
3
0
2
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
20
4
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.7
11
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.0
6
13
4
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
33
1
6-12
48%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
30
1
3-7
48%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.0
7
0
1-2
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.8
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.