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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 13, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bucks31%9997
16Hawks69%106102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.3
35
34
20
5
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
7-8
88%
5-11
5-11
45%
46%
1-2
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.6
34
30
8
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
48%
0-4
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
30
19
22
10
3
2
1
0
1
7
3
2-2
100%
10-17
3-6
59%
47%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.1
23
24
4
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 22.8
23
25
7
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
27
24
7
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.3
26
23
5
4
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-4
25%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.2
25
26
12
5
2
2
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
4-9
83%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.1
18
17
12
6
0
2
0
1
0
2
4
2-4
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
8
0
1-1
43%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
7
0
1-1
45%
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
4
0
1-1
50%
Tony Mitchell
F · 6'6" 216 · 24.6
2
0
0-1
44%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.3
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
38
30
15
6
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
54%
4-6
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.0
35
30
15
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
33
31
22
3
8
0
1
2
7
0
3
6-6
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
50%
2-3
67%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.1
30
26
17
8
4
0
1
2
2
0
8
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
26
21
8
7
1
0
0
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.0
20
20
6
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.7
18
20
2
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
55%
0-4
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.5
15
15
8
1
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.9
13
20
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
9
14
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
8
0
1-1
47%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.9
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.