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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 14, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets
111
3Heat
107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.4
38
34
13
5
9
4
1
0
6
1
4
9-10
90%
2-6
5-9
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
30
32
24
10
1
3
1
0
2
3
7
6-8
75%
9-15
6-12
60%
55%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.5
24
31
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
22
31
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
1-4
25%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.7
16
21
4
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.4
30
18
14
6
4
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
47%
2-5
40%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.5
26
21
11
9
3
0
0
1
0
2
7
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
24
12
18
0
0
4
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.2
15
21
9
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
3-4
75%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.3
14
11
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
6
0
1-2
49%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.8
5
0
1-1
45%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.7
4
0
0-1
47%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
40
36
21
6
6
1
2
0
4
0
6
5-7
71%
8-13
8-14
62%
60%
0-4
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
36
31
16
4
6
2
2
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
50%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
36
32
11
8
1
3
1
0
4
3
5
3-4
75%
4-8
5-9
50%
55%
0-4
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
35
34
19
5
6
0
2
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
8-18
7-14
44%
54%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
11
20
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
29
25
22
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
5-7
71%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
22
20
14
6
0
0
1
4
0
2
4
2-2
100%
6-6
2-3
100%
64%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
19
18
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
7
13
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.1
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
4
0
0-1
49%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
3
0
0-0
43%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
2
0
0-0
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.4
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.