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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 14, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Lakers11%9685
3Spurs89%113119
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.6
34.8
31.5
15
38%
2
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
4-13
3-7
31%
47%
1-4
25%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
33.2
27.3
6
34%
6
2
1
1
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
33.2
29.1
9
41%
2
2
1
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
27.9
23.0
6
33%
3
9
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
40%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.7
26.2
28.9
18
52%
11
2
1
0
4
1
3
8
2-3
67%
8-15
6-14
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.7
26.1
25.1
10
43%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
0-2
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
21.8
18.2
8
58%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.3
20.1
23.9
7
39%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
1-5
20%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
16.6
19.7
6
34%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-5
2-6
20%
41%
0-2
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
8.8
0
1-3
44%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
7.1
0
1-2
43%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.6
4.9
0
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
4.9
0
1-2
46%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.6
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
21.9
20.8
15
68%
5
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
5-8
63%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
20.5
31.2
9
48%
4
2
2
2
2
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
60%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
19.4
20.2
3
31%
3
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
57%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
15.0
26.5
9
43%
8
2
0
1
3
1
0
8
1-1
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
14.1
27.5
7
88%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
7-12
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
26.0
5.8
11
69%
3
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-1
57%
52%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
25.6
4.7
13
72%
10
4
0
0
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
3-7
43%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
20.8
22.2
12
49%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
17.9
11.0
12
55%
8
2
0
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
6-11
2-3
55%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
16.1
25.5
6
100%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
14.6
19.6
5
36%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
14.1
5.4
10
64%
7
1
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-4
50%
4-6
1-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
14.1
20.2
7
58%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.