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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets35%10492
16Hawks65%10997
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.4
38
35
2
9
11
2
1
0
2
2
7
2-4
50%
0-9
5-10
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
28
28
12
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
27
31
25
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
7-13
54%
9-13
7-12
69%
55%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.5
23
28
8
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.7
15
19
6
7
1
0
0
2
4
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.5
26
23
11
10
1
1
1
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.2
26
19
7
3
7
2
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.4
24
23
10
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
2-7
29%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
12
5
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
12
17
9
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.3
9
13
2
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.8
5
0
1-1
46%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.7
4
0
0-1
47%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
42
33
11
10
3
4
1
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
3-8
38%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.1
37
28
24
11
5
3
1
2
0
2
9
11-16
69%
5-13
5-9
38%
51%
1-4
25%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.0
37
32
18
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
4-4
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
36
31
15
6
10
1
1
1
5
1
5
2-3
67%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
24
23
16
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
3-8
38%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.0
23
20
3
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.9
13
17
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.5
12
15
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-2
0%
1-6
2-4
17%
47%
1-1
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.7
11
19
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
4
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-3
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
7
0
1-1
46%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
6
0
1-2
51%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.