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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies78%105103
3076ers22%9477
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
29
25
6
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.1
28
33
11
4
6
3
1
2
5
2
2
5-6
83%
3-6
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.7
26
32
14
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
5-11
7-14
45%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.0
25
26
7
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
23
30
19
4
4
1
2
0
2
0
4
7-8
88%
3-4
5-10
75%
49%
2-5
40%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
26
18
6
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
20
3
6
11
1
1
0
2
1
3
8
0-2
0%
3-4
1-1
75%
55%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.2
17
22
9
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
52%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
15
6
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.1
14
14
8
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
55%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.8
6
9
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
6
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
6
22
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
35
39
20
7
3
6
2
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
4-14
8-15
29%
51%
4-5
80%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.4
33
37
23
8
3
1
2
0
6
2
6
2-3
67%
9-13
5-12
69%
44%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
33
33
4
0
2
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
0-6
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.9
25
27
0
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
23
23
4
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
28
20
13
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
23
16
8
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
15
15
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
11
9
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-4
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 24.5
10
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-3
0-0
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.8
7
0
1-1
38%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.9
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.