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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks34%103109
4Thunder66%10886
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
30.9
34.7
9
47%
1
7
0
2
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
2-7
5-12
29%
46%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
30.2
29.7
19
74%
6
0
2
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
2-2
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
29.8
31.1
17
64%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
49%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
29.5
29.0
16
73%
5
7
2
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
4-8
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
20.5
17.7
10
102%
3
0
2
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
20.9
17.2
8
62%
4
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
20.6
22.6
18
65%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
4-8
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
19.3
15.6
8
67%
8
0
1
0
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
16.3
9.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
8.9
12.1
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
4.8
11.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
4.1
6.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
4.1
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
33.5
35.2
30
60%
4
4
0
1
1
4
1
3
10-11
91%
4-12
7-13
33%
55%
4-8
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
32.3
31.2
19
46%
6
2
0
0
2
0
3
3
3-4
75%
8-19
6-11
42%
57%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.9
31.3
22.9
13
67%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.3
23.6
13.0
2
33%
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
12.0
15.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.6
23.6
18.8
3
26%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.0
22.3
26.1
7
35%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.4
19.2
10.3
1
27%
7
1
0
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
18.9
20.7
6
51%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
52%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
10.8
8.9
4
40%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.1
6.3
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
6.3
0.4
1
17%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
26.3
1
5-10
49%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.