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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Jazz17%95104
3Spurs83%107122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.0
35
35
17
6
6
0
1
0
6
0
6
3-4
75%
7-12
3-8
58%
44%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.7
33
28
28
10
1
3
1
0
0
3
7
4-5
80%
12-19
4-9
63%
49%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.3
30
33
13
0
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.7
29
29
8
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
2-3
67%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
22
32
8
11
0
0
1
0
1
6
5
2-3
67%
3-11
7-13
27%
49%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.7
27
26
12
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.7
26
23
8
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
18
13
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.4
10
18
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.3
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.0
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.3
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
30
22
16
6
6
1
0
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
52%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
27
27
11
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
60%
2-2
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
26
22
18
0
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
54%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
23
20
14
10
1
0
1
2
1
2
8
2-4
50%
6-7
3-5
86%
57%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
19
21
5
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
28
21
12
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
25
18
21
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
6-6
2-4
100%
54%
2-5
40%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
19
22
6
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-4
60%
58%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
19
18
12
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
4-5
80%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
14
14
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
3
14
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
3
13
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
3
9
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.