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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Jazz18%9786
4Rockets82%109124
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.3
36.1
31.2
10
37%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
42%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.0
28.6
34.5
11
62%
4
3
3
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.7
25.0
29.4
15
61%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
3-3
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.7
23.0
28.6
8
48%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.7
19.8
24.0
5
36%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
24.7
27.7
9
51%
9
2
0
0
0
6
3
6
1-2
50%
4-8
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.4
22.5
14.9
2
25%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.7
17.8
26.5
15
70%
1
2
1
1
1
4
0
1
3-4
75%
6-8
4-9
75%
45%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.3
12.3
3.5
2
14%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
38%
0-3
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.0
10.0
3.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
7.6
3.3
2
41%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
7.5
15.4
3
38%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
5.2
3.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.2
38.2
22.9
30
83%
5
1
1
1
4
0
1
4
5-7
71%
8-11
4-6
73%
58%
3-4
75%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.7
32.1
31.3
19
85%
7
3
1
1
1
3
1
6
5-5
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
2-4
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.4
28.9
35.0
6
60%
2
7
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
5-9
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
28.3
14.1
12
44%
11
0
0
0
1
1
4
7
2-4
50%
5-12
1-2
42%
55%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.6
26.6
37.0
15
66%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.6
29.0
23.9
17
75%
4
9
0
1
2
5
1
3
2-3
67%
6-8
3-5
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.5
27.6
15.7
7
44%
11
3
2
0
1
5
1
10
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
1-3
33%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
19.1
12.2
15
95%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.8
8.3
3.5
3
38%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.2
1.9
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.3
32.8
1
6-11
60%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
4.8
0
0-1
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
3.9
0
1-1
61%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.