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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 18, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat75%105100
22Cavaliers25%9696
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
42
38
43
6
4
2
2
3
0
0
6
9-13
69%
8-11
8-14
73%
59%
6-8
75%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
39
33
21
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
6-11
5-9
55%
55%
2-5
40%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
32
27
3
2
9
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
22
2
9
2
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
2-4
0-0
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
14
9
6
3
0
2
0
2
0
1
2
0-1
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
30
26
14
3
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
51%
2-9
22%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
21
20
3
8
1
0
1
1
2
3
5
3-6
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
64%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
17
21
1
0
0
4
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
15
18
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
8
3
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
8
0
1-3
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
2
0
0-0
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
2
0
0-0
47%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
42
31
22
4
4
0
1
1
3
0
4
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
4-6
67%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
41
28
17
4
11
1
1
0
6
0
4
4-5
80%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
1-6
17%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
36
8
12
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
2-6
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.9
35
33
11
9
3
0
0
1
2
0
9
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
0-3
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.0
21
24
10
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
3-4
3-7
75%
48%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
26
18
16
11
1
3
1
1
2
0
11
2-2
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
51%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.5
23
17
5
3
6
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.2
14
17
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.9
32
1
4-9
46%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 21.0
4
0
0-1
45%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.4
3
0
0-0
46%
Shane Edwards
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
2
0
0-0
46%
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.6
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.