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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Bulls
102
3076ers
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.5
46
38
16
6
4
2
2
2
5
1
5
5-5
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.1
38
35
14
10
6
1
1
4
5
4
6
2-4
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.5
31
31
15
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
24
30
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.3
24
25
12
11
2
0
1
1
0
1
10
2-2
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.4
33
28
20
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
45%
4-6
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
30
26
19
13
0
0
1
0
2
5
8
5-6
83%
7-17
6-11
41%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.4
9
9
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.5
4
7
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.1
3
0
0-1
46%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
50%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
2
0
0-0
52%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
43
27
17
6
7
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-6
17%
2-10
5-10
20%
47%
4-6
67%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
38
38
24
4
2
4
2
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-12
7-14
50%
51%
4-7
57%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.4
38
37
16
9
7
1
2
0
3
2
7
2-4
50%
7-14
5-12
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
24
24
4
5
1
1
1
0
3
3
2
0-1
0%
2-9
3-6
22%
44%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.0
19
31
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-1
0%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
24
17
2
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.7
21
9
8
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
16
9
7
3
0
0
0
4
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
15
15
12
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
22
1
2-3
52%
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 24.5
3
0
0-1
39%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.9
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.