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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs78%110125
26Lakers22%99109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
34
27
22
10
4
2
2
1
0
0
10
5-6
83%
7-9
4-6
78%
58%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
33
24
25
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
11-16
5-10
69%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
32
25
12
16
6
3
1
0
4
5
11
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
24
21
16
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
22
21
10
8
2
1
1
3
1
2
6
2-3
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
26
24
10
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
24
21
8
6
6
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-4
33%
57%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
22
20
13
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
3-6
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
15
18
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
6
14
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
2
10
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
9
0
0-1
52%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
7
0
1-1
55%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.6
37
32
11
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.7
36
27
22
10
6
1
0
4
1
4
6
6-8
75%
8-18
6-13
44%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
34
29
14
6
1
2
1
1
3
0
6
7-8
88%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
23
24
10
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-4
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
16
30
8
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
32
18
24
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
5-7
71%
8-17
2-5
47%
42%
1-5
20%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.7
29
25
13
0
3
6
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
3-7
43%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
26
19
7
11
0
1
0
1
0
2
9
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
7
7
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.3
22
1
2-5
44%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
7
0
1-2
45%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.6
5
0
1-1
51%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
5
0
1-2
48%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.6
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.