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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 20, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Timberwolves37%103106
5Rockets63%108129
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.2
38
21
22
21
4
1
1
0
0
8
13
10-11
91%
6-16
2-5
38%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.5
30
36
29
6
5
1
1
2
1
1
5
4-4
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
25
37
5
2
8
0
3
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
39%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.1
20
33
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
5-11
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.0
17
37
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
27
8
11
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
45%
1-5
20%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
25
4
11
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-2
0%
4-6
0-1
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
18
19
4
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.7
15
19
4
1
3
0
0
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.0
10
13
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.3
9
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
40%
2-3
67%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.3
6
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.2
10
0
2-5
52%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.4
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.6
36
33
28
5
8
1
1
0
7
1
4
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
6-10
60%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.4
34
32
19
9
5
2
1
0
2
0
9
1-1
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
54%
2-5
40%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
27
19
12
5
3
0
0
4
2
1
4
4-5
80%
4-4
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.7
25
31
14
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
4-7
57%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.2
23
28
10
7
4
0
1
3
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-5
5-8
80%
57%
0-4
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.6
30
25
11
3
10
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.5
26
20
20
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
1-1
100%
8-9
2-4
89%
54%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
19
4
7
6
2
2
0
0
1
1
5
0-2
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
16
15
3
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.8
3
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.3
22
1
4-8
59%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.2
6
0
0-0
48%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
4
0
1-1
58%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.