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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pelicans35%100111
17Hawks65%106105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.0
44.1
22.7
34
66%
11
2
1
1
1
4
2
9
12-15
80%
11-19
5-10
58%
53%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
39.3
31.7
21
68%
3
4
4
1
1
6
1
2
7-8
88%
7-12
6-12
58%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.3
33.5
28.7
16
52%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
8-8
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
14.0
17.3
1
57%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
7.7
29.3
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
22.4
20.2
10
89%
2
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
4-6
67%
3-3
2-6
100%
42%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
22.1
26.9
4
52%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
15.3
15.3
2
17%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.9
13.3
15.1
7
60%
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.8
12.2
4.5
11
92%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
3-5
60%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
10.5
9.7
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.0
5.7
21.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.9
31.6
1
4-8
47%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.8
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
36.0
34.3
7
31%
7
2
4
1
0
1
1
6
3-3
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
0-4
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
35.8
32.2
26
62%
3
8
0
1
0
1
1
2
8-11
73%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.9
33.3
17.7
18
82%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
4-8
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.1
32.6
32.0
20
65%
4
1
1
2
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
8-13
5-11
62%
51%
1-2
50%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
28.0
24.5
14
58%
6
3
0
0
0
3
1
5
5-7
71%
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
1-4
25%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.7
15.4
14.9
10
54%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.0
14.8
17.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
14.8
6.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.5
12.3
12.8
4
40%
4
3
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
12.0
9.7
2
35%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
5.2
4.5
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.0
32.5
1
2-3
49%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.