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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies36%9386
3Heat64%9891
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.7
37
32
25
14
4
0
1
0
5
5
9
1-2
50%
12-20
6-13
60%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
34
30
12
4
6
3
1
0
3
2
2
4-5
80%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.5
32
26
12
1
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
51%
2-6
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.1
31
26
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.1
24
33
14
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
23
18
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.1
19
14
8
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.2
16
20
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
14
17
4
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
10
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.9
9
0
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
6
0
1-2
53%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
3
0
0-1
44%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
38
39
15
6
7
2
2
1
3
1
5
1-2
50%
7-12
8-13
58%
59%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
35
34
11
5
0
1
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
54%
1-6
17%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
34
27
14
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
3-4
75%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
33
32
14
4
4
2
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
12
11
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
31
28
18
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
2-3
56%
50%
2-5
40%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
19
22
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
19
20
5
4
0
0
0
1
2
3
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
64%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
9
13
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
9
16
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
14
0
2-5
48%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
7
0
0-1
44%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
2
0
0-0
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.