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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
99
21Kings
79
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
34
28
10
9
6
0
1
2
0
3
6
4-6
67%
3-12
5-11
25%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
31
30
15
7
1
1
2
1
0
1
6
5-6
83%
2-5
4-7
40%
58%
2-6
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
28
27
14
5
4
1
1
1
4
0
5
1-1
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
52%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
21
21
11
11
0
0
1
1
1
3
8
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
56%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
18
22
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
24
21
14
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
6-7
86%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
0-6
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
22
24
17
1
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
6-10
2-5
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
18
17
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
16
22
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
57%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
14
6
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
10
11
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
3
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
2
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
37
25
15
13
5
2
1
5
3
1
12
1-2
50%
7-18
6-12
39%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
37
36
18
3
4
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-7
57%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
32
30
14
5
3
0
1
2
4
1
4
5-5
100%
3-11
5-12
27%
47%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
26
32
9
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-6
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
21
20
2
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
29
11
13
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
2-4
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
26
25
4
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
16
23
0
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
12
16
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.9
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.