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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs71%10599
19Kings29%9879
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
33.9
27.8
10
34%
9
6
0
1
2
0
3
6
4-6
67%
3-12
5-11
25%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
30.9
29.9
15
55%
7
1
1
2
1
0
1
6
5-6
83%
2-5
4-7
40%
58%
2-6
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
28.1
27.4
14
45%
5
4
1
1
1
4
0
5
1-1
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
52%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
21.4
21.3
11
65%
11
0
0
1
1
1
3
8
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
56%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
17.5
22.0
3
25%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
23.5
20.9
14
50%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
6-7
86%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
0-6
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
22.1
24.4
17
64%
1
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
6-10
2-5
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
17.5
17.1
8
45%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
16.2
22.3
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
57%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
14.0
6.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
10.4
10.5
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
2.7
6.5
3
61%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
1.8
4.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
37.4
24.7
15
40%
13
5
2
1
5
3
1
12
1-2
50%
7-18
6-12
39%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
37.2
35.8
18
45%
3
4
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-7
57%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
32.3
30.2
14
43%
5
3
0
1
2
4
1
4
5-5
100%
3-11
5-12
27%
47%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
26.4
32.1
9
64%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-6
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
20.9
19.6
2
26%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
29.2
10.9
13
66%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
2-4
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
26.3
24.6
4
50%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
16.0
23.2
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
12.3
15.5
4
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
1.2
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.9
0.9
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.