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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat
95
20Pelicans
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
42
38
25
8
9
0
2
1
3
1
7
3-3
100%
8-14
8-13
57%
59%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
36
30
19
2
7
1
1
1
3
2
0
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
34
34
12
6
3
1
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
54%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
17
12
3
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
14
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
31
29
10
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
2-9
22%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
18
10
16
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
8-12
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
18
14
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
15
20
5
2
0
2
0
3
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
2-3
100%
64%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
15
21
0
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
2
0
0-0
36%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
2
0
0-0
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
45
25
12
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
0-2
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.0
39
32
30
11
0
3
1
1
1
3
8
4-5
80%
13-22
8-14
59%
53%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
34
34
16
4
8
2
1
0
0
3
1
2-4
50%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.8
28
9
11
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
3-8
38%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.3
25
30
8
0
6
2
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
23
21
9
1
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
3-6
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
21
15
10
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
46%
2-3
67%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.9
13
14
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
8
16
0
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.0
4
14
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
20
1
2-5
47%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
10
0
0-1
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
7
0
1-2
49%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.8
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.