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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 23, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bucks36%99107
21Kings64%104124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
24
20
14
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.6
24
33
7
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.3
23
33
6
2
7
0
1
2
3
0
2
2-3
67%
2-8
5-11
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.3
23
24
9
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.1
20
27
8
3
0
0
1
0
2
3
0
0-2
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
28
5
21
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
7-8
0-1
88%
45%
2-6
33%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 25.5
26
2
9
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-3
33%
4-5
0-1
80%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.1
24
19
13
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
5-8
63%
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.2
24
22
7
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
20
29
13
5
6
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
6-7
4-9
86%
44%
0-1
0%
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 22.9
22
1
2-5
47%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
5
0
0-1
44%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.3
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
41
30
24
8
4
0
1
1
3
2
6
6-7
86%
9-12
6-11
75%
50%
0-4
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
37
35
30
3
8
0
1
0
1
1
2
9-11
82%
6-9
5-10
67%
53%
3-4
75%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
34
29
15
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
3-8
38%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
29
30
32
12
4
2
1
1
1
2
10
4-6
67%
14-19
7-14
74%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
27
20
6
10
0
1
1
0
2
5
5
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
24
25
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
17
20
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
14
19
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
11
14
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
4
5
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.