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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 23, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nets
107
7Mavericks
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
42
30
15
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
8-8
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.7
37
30
22
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
4-5
80%
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.5
34
26
12
7
1
3
1
0
0
4
3
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.4
31
23
15
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
9-12
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.0
22
21
5
6
3
1
1
0
2
4
2
1-2
50%
2-8
3-5
25%
58%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
26
23
5
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
1-1
100%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.8
24
20
20
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
4-7
57%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.5
20
16
9
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
3-7
43%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
18
16
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.1
7
15
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.3
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.2
10
0
1-2
44%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.1
4
0
0-1
42%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.0
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
41
32
32
1
4
1
2
1
4
0
1
8-11
73%
9-16
5-10
56%
49%
2-8
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
38
30
10
8
2
0
1
0
2
0
8
6-6
100%
2-9
6-11
22%
52%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
35
18
12
15
1
0
0
7
0
5
10
4-6
67%
4-5
2-5
80%
54%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
34
31
12
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
1
26
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
40
23
11
7
6
0
1
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
50%
3-8
38%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
28
24
12
10
4
0
1
0
2
6
4
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
18
19
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
4-6
100%
63%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
16
14
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
13
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
9
0
2-3
55%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
4
0
0-1
47%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
3
0
0-0
51%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.