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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 24, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Trail Blazers30%10191
3Heat70%10893
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
40
33
19
4
6
2
1
0
1
1
3
12-14
86%
2-7
4-10
29%
47%
1-8
13%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.3
40
33
11
10
3
1
1
0
5
2
8
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
51%
3-7
43%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
36
30
15
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
3-11
27%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.0
33
28
10
8
2
0
0
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.3
19
20
7
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.3
32
20
17
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.0
15
15
8
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.1
15
10
0
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
10
9
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.6
13
0
1-2
50%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
12
0
1-2
46%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
6
0
1-1
47%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.8
6
0
0-0
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.7
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
38
38
32
6
5
4
2
0
5
4
2
6-9
67%
13-22
8-13
59%
59%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
32
34
15
8
0
4
1
1
0
0
8
3-6
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
55%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
31
31
11
6
3
3
2
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
18
8
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
15
11
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
32
29
8
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
2-4
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
27
19
8
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
23
18
13
11
0
1
0
2
1
5
6
5-6
83%
4-8
2-3
50%
64%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
15
13
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
8
15
0
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
14
0
1-3
49%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
2
0
0-0
38%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
2
0
0-0
50%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.