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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 24, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pacers46%9077
11Bulls54%9289
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
40.6
34.4
21
44%
7
1
4
2
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
7-16
4-9
44%
47%
1-6
17%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.9
39.1
34.2
17
75%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
36.0
30.5
14
48%
9
4
0
1
2
1
0
9
6-6
100%
4-12
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
30.2
31.5
8
42%
10
0
0
1
0
4
1
9
1-1
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
53%
1-1
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.3
26.1
26.5
3
22%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
0-5
4-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
19.5
19.7
3
34%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
44%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.4
16.6
17.3
3
80%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.9
14.7
15.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.2
8.9
10.1
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.0
5.2
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.1
1.1
3.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.8
1.1
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
1.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.9
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.5
38.3
32.2
13
54%
8
4
1
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.1
34.7
35.9
10
50%
8
8
4
1
3
2
0
8
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.5
32.5
41.4
12
47%
5
3
0
2
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
27.6
28.7
18
65%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
42%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.3
23.8
25.5
9
40%
10
0
2
1
0
2
2
8
3-3
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
47%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
33.4
25.9
23
67%
8
1
0
0
1
1
5
3
5-5
100%
9-14
5-11
64%
48%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.4
27.8
29.1
4
25%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.4
17.9
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.5
3.7
5.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
0.2
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
0.2
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
10.0
0
2-4
46%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.1
2.0
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.