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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 24, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers
91
1Spurs
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
38
36
17
7
4
2
2
0
3
2
5
5-7
71%
3-12
5-13
25%
42%
2-8
25%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.0
37
24
8
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
35
38
17
5
2
2
2
1
3
2
3
3-5
60%
7-15
7-14
47%
49%
0-5
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
33
27
10
6
6
2
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
33
27
10
7
7
2
1
0
1
4
3
0-2
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
43%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
19
18
14
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
2-2
100%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
18
12
15
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
41%
3-7
43%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
11
14
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Casper Ware
· 5'10" 175 · 24.2
10
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
35%
0-2
0%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.7
7
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
23
1
4-8
45%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
3
0
0-1
42%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.0
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
35
6
12
7
5
2
0
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
5-10
1-1
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
28
24
7
6
7
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
58%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.7
26
15
9
5
3
1
1
0
5
0
5
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
26
31
15
5
2
0
2
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
60%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
23
30
19
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
9-12
6-12
75%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
29
3
22
6
1
2
0
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
6-10
60%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
24
24
9
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
53%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
23
18
15
3
3
3
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
3-6
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
20
5
5
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
57%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
5
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
27
1
7-12
54%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
27
1
2-4
49%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
26
1
4-7
58%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.