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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 27, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Trail Blazers56%107100
16Hawks44%10485
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.3
37
35
12
7
3
1
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.0
35
32
11
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
3-3
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
54%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
34
34
21
6
4
0
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
4-9
44%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.7
32
21
25
16
2
1
1
1
1
5
11
7-7
100%
9-21
6-12
43%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
32
33
11
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
3-6
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.3
25
23
8
4
11
0
1
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.0
19
16
10
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
4-4
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
16
12
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.3
10
22
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.6
11
0
1-1
51%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.1
9
0
1-2
53%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
6
0
1-1
46%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.8
4
0
0-0
43%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
37
27
22
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
9-14
4-9
64%
47%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.1
35
31
10
6
3
2
1
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
3-11
5-11
27%
49%
0-4
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.9
35
24
9
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
32
32
11
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
4-4
3-6
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.0
30
17
11
12
2
1
0
1
2
4
8
1-1
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
30
24
16
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
5-7
71%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
1-5
20%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
18
12
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.7
13
23
0
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.5
11
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
21
0
1-3
53%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.0
11
0
1-1
48%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
9
0
1-1
44%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 29.0
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.