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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat69%105110
23Pistons31%9878
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
30
9
9
5
5
1
0
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
3-7
1-1
43%
44%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
30
39
17
10
12
1
2
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
6-10
8-14
60%
59%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
27
2
10
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
36%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
26
30
15
9
3
0
1
2
0
1
8
1-1
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
54%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
21
14
17
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
8-11
1-3
73%
49%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
32
23
12
5
7
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
24
9
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
22
19
13
6
0
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-6
83%
4-6
2-3
67%
64%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
19
11
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
5
10
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
33
2
3-5
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
32
1
7-13
54%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.6
35
28
9
14
0
1
1
0
1
6
8
1-2
50%
4-7
5-8
57%
61%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.8
29
29
12
8
1
0
1
2
1
4
4
2-4
50%
5-14
5-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.5
28
32
8
0
7
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-6
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.3
27
35
9
2
3
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.9
25
27
11
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-4
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.1
24
19
6
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
23
29
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
5-11
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.1
19
13
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.2
15
16
12
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-2
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.0
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.6
5
0
0-1
47%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.