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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Lakers17%101107
8Timberwolves83%114143
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.7
36
22
21
4
4
3
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
8-14
2-5
57%
45%
1-4
25%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.6
32
30
19
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
1-4
25%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.7
24
24
10
7
0
1
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
52%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
15
26
0
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
40%
0-4
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
6
17
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
31
24
14
7
1
0
0
0
0
6
1
2-4
50%
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
28
24
11
1
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-6
3-7
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
24
18
13
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
46%
1-2
50%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
24
23
9
4
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.1
15
7
4
0
6
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-2
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
6
5
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
19
1
3-6
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.7
13
0
3-6
48%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.6
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.6
29
32
22
10
10
1
1
0
4
0
10
7-9
78%
3-5
5-10
60%
52%
3-5
60%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.1
27
30
11
3
3
2
2
0
0
1
2
5-5
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
54%
0-1
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
26
32
10
6
6
1
2
0
2
0
6
2-3
67%
4-5
3-6
80%
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.2
24
28
17
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.2
22
7
26
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
8-8
100%
9-10
2-3
90%
56%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
24
18
11
5
3
2
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.2
23
32
14
9
0
0
1
1
2
3
6
4-7
57%
5-5
4-8
100%
55%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.8
16
16
8
4
4
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
15
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
14
17
8
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-1
0%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.1
9
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.4
7
9
9
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.3
6
7
5
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.5
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.