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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings21%9881
4Thunder79%10994
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
46
30
18
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
5-6
83%
2-9
2-5
22%
42%
3-7
43%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
46
27
13
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-3
0%
5-15
3-7
33%
40%
1-1
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
21
34
7
2
1
0
1
0
4
2
0
1-1
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
47%
0-3
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.9
18
19
4
6
1
2
1
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
17
35
4
4
2
0
2
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-8
8-17
25%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
31
22
17
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
42%
5-6
83%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
30
8
6
13
2
2
0
0
1
5
8
2-4
50%
2-6
1-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
29
13
10
14
1
0
0
0
2
5
9
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
35
1
5-10
49%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
27
1
2-5
46%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 23.9
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
30
31
8
8
1
1
0
4
3
0
8
4-4
100%
2-6
6-11
33%
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
29
38
29
1
6
2
1
2
2
0
1
8-8
100%
6-7
8-14
86%
56%
3-4
75%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
24
19
18
5
6
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
49%
0-2
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.3
15
15
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
15
16
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-6
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
33
11
13
5
5
2
0
0
2
0
5
0-3
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
51%
3-6
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.0
26
27
6
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.1
20
7
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.6
18
22
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.4
15
20
2
3
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
59%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
8
7
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 27.5
7
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.9
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.