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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
133
20Nuggets
102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
29
21
27
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
6-9
67%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
26
22
8
12
7
0
1
0
1
4
8
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
56%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
23
31
14
4
6
2
2
3
2
1
3
0-1
0%
4-8
4-7
50%
57%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
22
30
20
8
4
1
1
2
0
1
7
2-3
67%
9-14
6-12
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
19
26
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-9
6-11
22%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
23
23
11
6
5
1
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
1-2
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
20
8
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
20
11
9
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
20
18
16
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-1
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.7
18
22
7
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
11
9
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
3-4
75%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
8
9
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
18
1
1-2
47%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.5
32
32
20
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
4-7
57%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.4
29
32
13
1
5
4
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
27
30
18
13
4
0
1
0
1
3
10
8-10
80%
5-12
6-12
42%
54%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.4
24
18
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.7
21
26
7
8
0
1
0
1
4
2
6
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.2
30
27
8
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.4
29
22
15
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-3
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
47%
0-3
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
23
5
5
6
0
0
0
3
0
1
5
1-4
25%
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
18
24
8
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
44%
1-6
17%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.7
8
10
6
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.9
12
0
1-2
47%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.6
10
0
2-4
51%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.8
5
0
1-1
46%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.