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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Knicks35%10188
11Suns65%106112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
40.0
37.4
21
47%
7
1
0
1
1
0
3
4
3-5
60%
6-14
7-15
43%
47%
2-6
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.5
31.0
32.9
15
52%
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
44%
2-8
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.4
29.8
28.6
19
52%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
3-5
60%
8-16
6-12
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 31.5
29.3
29.1
1
10%
7
2
0
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
0-4
4-6
0%
60%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 29.8
23.2
26.9
6
47%
1
4
2
1
0
4
1
0
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
1-1
100%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 23.8
26.4
20.7
7
58%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
21.0
21.2
5
23%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
1-7
14%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.9
19.9
17.5
3
150%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 25.4
6.0
8.6
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.3
5.0
5.9
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-0
-
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 24.4
5.0
3.8
5
51%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
3.5
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 36.2
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
32.1
33.8
32
80%
2
4
2
1
0
2
2
0
5-7
71%
6-8
5-10
75%
54%
5-9
56%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.3
31.0
33.3
16
50%
7
6
1
2
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
51%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
30.6
25.2
3
26%
6
1
2
1
2
0
1
5
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-4
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.9
30.1
31.1
11
46%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
1-4
25%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.6
22.9
18.4
11
80%
12
3
0
0
0
1
4
8
1-2
50%
5-6
2-5
83%
53%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
26.1
29.0
16
91%
8
1
1
1
2
3
3
5
4-4
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
52%
2-2
100%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
19.9
18.2
9
38%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
51%
1-4
25%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.2
17.4
24.9
6
38%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.6
9.1
3.6
1
27%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
6.3
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.8
6.0
6.3
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.5
5.0
2.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 30.3
3.5
1.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.3
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.