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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies
93
6Warriors
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.2
37
31
17
7
1
2
1
2
3
3
4
3-5
60%
7-15
5-11
47%
48%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.7
35
32
21
7
3
1
1
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
10-16
7-14
63%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
35
31
20
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
6-10
5-10
60%
46%
2-7
29%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.5
26
22
11
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.1
22
23
7
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
3-4
2-5
75%
42%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
25
23
0
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.2
24
13
2
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
13
16
7
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
10
15
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.1
8
17
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.9
6
7
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
8
0
1-2
52%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
3
0
0-1
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
38
35
33
5
8
1
1
2
3
1
4
2-3
67%
8-14
4-9
57%
50%
5-8
63%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
36
34
14
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
0-3
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
29
19
5
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26.6
26
9
15
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
7-9
2-4
78%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.3
4
26
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35.5
34
11
10
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
6-7
86%
2-7
2-3
29%
48%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
32
25
12
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
2-4
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
18
27
4
1
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.1
16
21
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.4
7
13
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
30
1
6-12
52%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.9
Nemanja Nedovic
G · 6'3" 192 · 22.8
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.