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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 29, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons56%10698
3076ers44%104123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.8
32
29
20
10
2
1
1
0
2
5
5
6-8
75%
7-16
6-12
44%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.9
25
27
10
4
0
1
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.3
25
31
4
6
1
0
1
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
6-13
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.6
24
31
8
6
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
2-6
33%
3-5
6-9
60%
62%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.5
11
30
2
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.1
29
16
16
4
1
2
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
27
27
17
4
4
2
1
0
2
2
2
11-11
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.1
24
21
10
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
2-3
67%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.2
18
16
5
2
2
0
1
0
5
0
2
1-1
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
48%
0-2
0%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
13
4
2
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.0
6
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.6
5
0
0-1
48%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
35
34
21
6
3
1
2
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
7-13
7-13
54%
53%
2-4
50%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
31
32
21
7
4
4
2
1
4
2
5
8-10
80%
5-12
5-11
42%
46%
1-2
50%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
27
27
16
7
1
1
1
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
8-14
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
22
28
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
1-3
33%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.0
22
24
14
5
3
3
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
53%
4-4
100%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
25
22
13
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
21
12
6
6
9
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
21
17
9
3
1
0
0
6
0
2
1
1-1
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Casper Ware
· 5'10" 175 · 24.2
17
17
8
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
14
7
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.7
5
14
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-2
100%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
9
0
1-2
46%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.0
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.