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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 29, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings18%97100
6Mavericks82%109103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
48.0
33.9
16
47%
4
8
2
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-13
4-9
38%
42%
2-4
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
42.6
28.0
30
64%
7
0
0
1
0
7
3
4
8-10
80%
11-18
5-10
61%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
33.4
35.9
10
53%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.9
29.1
18.7
6
55%
18
1
2
1
0
2
4
14
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
27.5
26.9
17
52%
7
5
2
1
0
3
2
5
1-3
33%
8-15
6-13
53%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
28.0
20.3
11
70%
5
0
3
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-7
2-5
71%
50%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
20.5
25.4
6
43%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
10.1
16.7
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
0.7
17.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
21.0
1
3-6
49%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 23.9
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
37.7
34.1
17
55%
3
6
2
2
0
3
0
3
6-8
75%
4-9
6-11
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
37.5
24.9
11
50%
0
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
3-8
38%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
32.5
29.0
14
84%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
30.2
32.4
19
66%
7
7
0
1
1
2
0
7
9-10
90%
5-8
6-11
63%
53%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
23.9
21.3
15
84%
6
0
2
1
3
3
2
4
1-2
50%
7-8
3-5
88%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
25.3
24.9
10
50%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
19.4
20.3
6
104%
6
1
0
1
3
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-2
4-6
100%
64%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
16.4
21.5
3
23%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-6
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
12.4
15.2
6
61%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
4.6
5.4
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
2.8
0
0-0
49%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
2.1
0
0-0
53%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.