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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 31, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers27%10095
16Hawks73%108103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
36
34
23
3
4
4
2
3
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
7-13
50%
51%
5-6
83%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
35
26
19
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
53%
3-9
33%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
34
31
16
9
9
3
2
0
3
1
8
2-2
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
44%
0-2
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
27
26
8
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.0
25
23
5
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
21
18
5
9
0
0
1
3
2
1
8
1-7
14%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
19
23
10
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
18
17
6
1
3
0
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Casper Ware
· 5'10" 175 · 24.2
14
17
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-4
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
12
10
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.7
10
0
1-2
43%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
10
0
1-2
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.1
36
34
28
17
4
3
2
0
3
5
12
9-13
69%
8-13
6-11
62%
52%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
33
31
12
3
5
1
1
0
4
1
2
3-3
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
1-3
33%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
29
22
9
5
4
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
1-5
20%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.0
27
10
11
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
21
19
2
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
57%
0-5
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
25
27
22
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
48%
2-7
29%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.1
22
15
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.5
15
13
4
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.7
14
18
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.9
14
27
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
4
17
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
15
0
1-2
48%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 29.0
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.