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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 31, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies56%10194
20Nuggets44%9992
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.7
34
34
20
11
3
1
1
0
2
2
9
4-8
50%
8-15
7-15
53%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.5
34
22
19
7
3
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-6
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
52%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.2
33
34
13
8
2
0
1
1
2
4
4
1-3
33%
6-19
6-12
32%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
30
34
19
2
2
1
2
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
8-13
5-11
62%
47%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.1
29
24
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.1
19
12
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2
2-3
67%
2-7
2-4
29%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
18
12
9
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
17
25
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.2
16
15
2
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
10
9
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
13
1
2-3
49%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
5
0
1-1
46%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.9
5
0
1-2
50%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.5
40
31
13
9
4
2
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
44%
1-8
13%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.4
40
31
8
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-4
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
32
28
17
8
2
3
1
1
2
5
3
5-9
56%
6-14
6-11
43%
56%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.7
32
23
23
10
1
0
0
1
2
2
8
5-7
71%
9-14
3-7
64%
53%
0-1
0%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.4
18
20
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.2
29
27
10
0
6
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.4
17
24
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
16
12
8
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
16
21
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.9
10
0
1-2
49%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.7
10
0
1-2
49%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.6
8
0
2-3
53%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.8
5
0
1-1
48%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.