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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Warriors45%103122
7Mavericks55%104120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
47.2
34.4
27
55%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
47%
4-9
44%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
43.1
37.1
23
68%
3
10
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
7-9
5-10
78%
50%
3-8
38%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
42.1
29.6
9
50%
7
6
2
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
1-1
100%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
40.6
29.1
16
85%
8
7
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-1
0%
5-6
2-4
83%
52%
2-3
67%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35.5
33.2
26.1
20
73%
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
2-4
50%
9-12
4-7
75%
48%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
17.1
18.6
8
57%
9
1
0
0
0
4
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.4
15.6
8.7
19
95%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
5-7
71%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
13.1
21.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.1
13.1
19.2
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-3
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
10.8
0
2-5
52%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.3
8.3
0
1-2
55%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 29.4
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.9
Nemanja Nedovic
G · 6'3" 192 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
42.7
34.5
27
55%
2
6
2
2
1
2
1
1
3-4
75%
9-18
5-11
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
39.7
30.8
33
74%
11
3
2
1
1
0
1
10
1-3
33%
7-13
5-11
54%
50%
6-8
75%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
36.6
29.2
8
42%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
35.9
29.8
8
50%
10
2
0
1
1
1
4
6
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
7.1
22.0
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
31.0
24.5
12
43%
4
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
3-7
43%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
25.4
19.8
14
90%
5
0
0
1
1
1
4
1
4-4
100%
5-6
4-6
83%
61%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
19.0
14.1
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
16.4
19.5
10
63%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-4
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
11.3
5.6
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
2.6
0
0-0
44%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.