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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs48%10194
4Thunder52%102106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
36
20
11
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
29
29
17
2
3
3
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
7-12
4-7
58%
55%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
28
24
17
8
1
0
1
2
0
2
6
7-8
88%
5-15
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
26
27
6
4
3
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-1
0%
3-9
6-11
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
19
19
2
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
30
25
8
6
1
0
1
0
4
0
6
1-1
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
25
27
8
3
2
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
24
19
21
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
5-7
71%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
13
12
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.5
5
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
4
13
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.7
19
1
3-5
51%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
7
0
1-1
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
40
30
11
12
0
1
0
3
2
2
10
1-2
50%
5-11
6-10
45%
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
39
31
28
7
3
0
1
1
4
0
7
6-6
100%
11-22
6-11
50%
54%
0-4
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
31
23
27
1
6
4
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
9-16
4-9
56%
47%
1-4
25%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.3
15
16
5
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.4
12
12
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.0
30
32
14
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.1
30
26
4
2
2
5
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.6
15
19
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.4
13
20
4
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
12
17
5
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
1
21
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.1
16
0
1-2
56%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 27.6
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.