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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers31%99111
26Celtics69%106102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
40
33
15
8
3
1
2
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
34
29
24
6
6
1
2
1
1
1
5
6-9
67%
9-14
5-11
64%
45%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.0
34
27
24
9
2
0
1
0
0
3
6
14-18
78%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.0
30
24
6
4
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
51%
2-4
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
27
27
7
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
26
21
15
1
2
4
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
2-3
67%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
24
19
8
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
14
17
7
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
11
13
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Casper Ware
· 5'10" 175 · 24.2
12
1
1-2
39%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.7
12
0
1-2
43%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
6
0
1-1
51%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.1
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.6
39
24
23
2
2
1
1
0
6
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
5-12
42%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.1
38
27
11
11
16
0
1
0
7
2
9
3-5
60%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
33
31
15
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
6-8
75%
3-3
5-9
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
30
23
12
11
0
1
0
1
0
6
5
2-2
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.2
15
18
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.1
30
29
10
6
0
0
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
5-9
71%
51%
0-4
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
20
19
14
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
53%
2-3
67%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.9
19
26
9
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
4-4
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
1-7
14%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.1
15
15
4
2
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-2
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
17
1
3-6
49%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
7
0
1-1
52%
Chris Babb
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
5
0
0-0
54%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.9
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.