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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Timberwolves39%101122
3Heat61%104121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
46
30
13
5
14
2
2
0
4
0
5
2-3
67%
4-6
2-6
67%
39%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.6
45
32
28
11
2
0
1
1
4
4
7
4-5
80%
9-18
5-10
50%
48%
2-9
22%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.8
39
17
13
6
3
1
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
3-7
43%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.1
32
28
12
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-2
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.2
25
23
15
4
0
1
1
3
2
2
2
3-6
50%
6-15
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.9
38
19
24
4
4
2
0
0
2
2
2
5-7
71%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
5-7
71%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.2
26
17
6
8
0
1
0
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
23
6
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.1
13
9
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.4
3
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.2
30
1
5-10
46%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.3
4
0
0-1
41%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.3
48
32
34
8
5
4
1
1
4
2
6
8-10
80%
10-20
7-11
50%
59%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
45
28
24
9
1
2
1
2
5
4
5
5-6
83%
5-12
4-8
42%
54%
3-7
43%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
39
28
24
6
6
1
1
1
3
1
5
8-10
80%
5-7
2-4
71%
50%
2-7
29%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
27
20
10
8
0
0
0
2
2
2
6
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
17
24
2
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
37
24
0
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
28
20
10
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
22
20
8
8
0
0
1
0
1
5
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-4
50%
63%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
17
17
6
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
1-4
25%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
10
21
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
37%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
7
0
1-2
48%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
4
0
0-1
52%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.