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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls48%9496
16Wizards52%9578
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.6
41.7
39.0
3
15%
6
9
0
2
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-4
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.1
36.2
36.1
21
73%
12
3
0
1
1
1
4
8
3-3
100%
9-13
5-11
69%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.6
32.3
31.0
8
45%
7
2
1
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
28.1
29.0
11
92%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
3-4
75%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.4
24.0
23.7
16
58%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.4
30.0
28.9
25
60%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-8
3-7
25%
43%
6-11
55%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
27.4
27.9
9
46%
7
0
0
1
2
1
4
3
3-4
75%
3-8
5-11
38%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.4
8.7
9.8
1
27%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.6
6.5
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.1
3.3
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
1.8
1.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.8
38.4
34.6
14
41%
3
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
7-13
4-10
54%
43%
0-3
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
36.1
31.4
20
55%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
6-13
5-11
46%
46%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
35.9
29.3
19
74%
8
0
0
1
0
4
2
6
3-4
75%
8-11
5-10
73%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
29.7
31.3
2
11%
7
0
2
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
48%
0-3
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
26.6
24.2
6
33%
5
1
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.5
21.6
18.5
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.3
17.3
27.0
2
25%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.0
8.6
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.8
7.4
3.3
5
63%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.3
6.9
4.8
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.1
4.9
12.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.4
3.3
3.8
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.9
3.3
2.1
3
61%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.3
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.