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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 8, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets31%9788
3Heat69%10487
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
34.4
29.7
8
37%
6
6
2
1
1
3
1
5
1-4
25%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.8
33.0
26.1
19
56%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
8-13
3-6
62%
47%
1-4
25%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.5
32.3
23.7
14
75%
4
1
2
1
2
3
0
4
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.1
30.3
20.1
8
67%
8
2
1
1
3
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.6
28.1
29.7
4
33%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.8
28.3
21.8
16
100%
6
1
4
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
4-5
80%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.6
22.6
18.1
11
65%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.5
20.2
18.4
7
45%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-4
25%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.1
10.8
11.9
1
57%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
17.2
1
3-6
49%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.3
8.2
0
1-1
46%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.3
7.3
0
0-1
41%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.1
3.8
0
0-1
41%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.3
37.1
36.6
29
65%
10
6
2
2
0
3
1
9
11-14
79%
9-13
8-13
69%
60%
0-3
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
35.7
30.6
12
42%
6
1
0
1
2
2
2
4
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
55%
0-4
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
28.3
29.3
7
44%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
23.3
21.4
6
60%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
19.8
16.9
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
28.2
11.8
9
64%
3
0
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
25.1
22.4
10
56%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
23.1
24.1
6
60%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.8
19.4
12.8
5
51%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
64%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
23.3
0
3-5
51%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
11.1
0
0-1
38%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
4.6
0
1-2
49%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
2.8
0
0-1
54%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.