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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 8, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks69%10895
29Jazz31%10183
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
38
35
16
4
5
0
2
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-13
6-11
46%
49%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
33
31
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
33
32
21
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
7-8
6-11
88%
53%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
31
28
10
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
27
22
10
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
22
22
13
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
17
20
9
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
11
15
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
11
16
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
64%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.0
10
10
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
6
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
2
0
0-0
52%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.0
41
32
11
4
5
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.4
31
34
4
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
43%
0-5
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.7
27
26
19
7
0
1
1
0
1
4
3
3-3
100%
8-13
5-9
62%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.8
26
22
15
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
4-9
2-3
44%
48%
2-8
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.8
8
23
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.5
32
17
6
11
0
1
1
1
2
6
5
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.7
29
29
10
1
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
5-8
4-9
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.9
28
24
15
19
1
0
0
2
1
9
10
3-4
75%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
17
13
3
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.1
11
0
1-2
46%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
5
0
0-1
51%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
3
0
0-0
49%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.4
3
0
0-1
42%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.