Final Win Prob. pScore
444%94
102
756%96
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
120.08586.0
MEM logo Grizzlies
121.68887.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM102
107
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)102
107
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
107
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)102
107
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Rebound102
107
Q4 - 0:07.0MEMMISS Allen 1' Layup102
107
Q4 - 0:16.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)102
107
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)99
107
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P3.T14)99
107
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMRandolph OFF.Foul (P2)99
107
Q4 - 0:43.0MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)99
107
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAChalmers 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)99
107
Q4 - 0:50.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
107
Q4 - 0:51.0MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
107
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.T4)97
107
Q4 - 1:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
107
Q4 - 1:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
107
Q4 - 1:12MEMConley S.FOUL (P2.PN)95
107
Q4 - 1:27MEMAllen 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)95
107
Q4 - 1:50MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
105
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot95
105
Q4 - 2:04MEMRandolph Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)95
105
Q4 - 2:18MEMConley Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
105
Q4 - 2:18MEMConley Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
104
Q4 - 2:18MIA95
103
Q4 - 2:18MIAChalmers C.P.FOUL (P3.T3)95
103
Q4 - 2:19MIAConley STEAL (2 STL)95
103
Q4 - 2:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
103
Q4 - 2:31MEMMISS Randolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
103
Q4 - 2:37MEMSUB: Lee FOR Calathes95
103
Q4 - 2:52MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
103
Q4 - 2:55MEMMISS Gasol 5' Fadeaway Jumper95
103
Q4 - 3:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)95
103
Q4 - 3:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)94
103
Q4 - 3:14MEMAllen S.FOUL (P4.PN)93
103
Q4 - 3:34MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Calathes 2 AST)93
103
Q4 - 3:39MIARandolph STEAL (1 STL)93
100
Q4 - 4:03MIASUB: Allen FOR Cole93
100
Q4 - 4:03MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)93
100
Q4 - 4:04MEMConley 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)93
100
Q4 - 4:11MIAGasol STEAL (2 STL)93
97
Q4 - 4:26MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
97
Q4 - 4:26MEMSUB: Conley FOR Lee93
96
Q4 - 4:26MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
96
Q4 - 4:26MIABosh S.FOUL (P5.T2)93
95
Q4 - 4:45MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (35 PTS)93
95
Q4 - 5:11MEMCalathes 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)91
95
Q4 - 5:17MIACalathes STEAL (1 STL)91
93
Q4 - 5:26MEMGasol 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)91
93
Q4 - 5:43MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)91
91
Q4 - 5:43MEMGasol S.FOUL (P4.T4)90
91
Q4 - 5:43MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)90
91
Q4 - 5:5787
91
Q4 - 5:57MEMAllen P.FOUL (P3.T3)87
91
Q4 - 6:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
91
Q4 - 6:06MEMMISS Randolph 13' Fadeaway Jumper87
91
Q4 - 6:18MEMSUB: Calathes FOR Conley87
91
Q4 - 6:18MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T1)87
91
Q4 - 6:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 6:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)86
91
Q4 - 6:28MEMGasol S.FOUL (P3.T2)85
91
Q4 - 6:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
91
Q4 - 6:45MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 6:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)85
91
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup85
91
Q4 - 7:10MIASUB: James FOR Allen85
91
Q4 - 7:10MIAHeat Rebound85
91
Q4 - 7:11MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 7:30MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
91
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 7:54MEMRandolph 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 7:56MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
89
Q4 - 7:58MEMMISS Lee 6' Running Jump Shot85
89
Q4 - 8:02MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
89
Q4 - 8:04MEMMISS Lee 6' Jump Shot85
89
Q4 - 8:24MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)85
89
Q4 - 8:47MEMAllen Layup (4 PTS)82
89
Q4 - 8:51MIAAllen STEAL (3 STL)82
87
Q4 - 9:12MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Hamilton82
87
Q4 - 9:12MIASUB: Bosh FOR James82
87
Q4 - 9:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)82
87
Q4 - 9:12MEMAllen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)82
87
Q4 - 9:15MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)82
85
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup82
85
Q4 - 9:42MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)82
85
Q4 - 10:06MIAJames 1' Layup (31 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)82
82
Q4 - 10:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
82
Q4 - 10:13MEMMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
82
Q4 - 10:30MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
82
Q4 - 10:31MEMMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot80
82
Q4 - 10:49MEMLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
82
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS James 21' Step Back Jump Shot80
82
Q4 - 11:14MEMLee Foul Turnover (P4.T12)80
82
Q4 - 11:14MEMLee Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T1)80
82
Q4 - 11:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
82
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Lewis 6' Running Jump Shot80
82
Q4 - 11:49MEMGasol 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)80
82
Q4 - 12:0080
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM80
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMLee 3PT Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)80
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)80
77
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMGasol Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
77
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAJames 20' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)80
75
Q3 - 0:25.0MEMJump Ball Conley vs. Hamilton: Tip to James78
75
Q3 - 0:46.0MEMConley Layup (15 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)78
75
Q3 - 0:49.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)78
73
Q3 - 1:08MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
73
Q3 - 1:09MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 278
73
Q3 - 1:09MIASUB: Lewis FOR Battier78
73
Q3 - 1:09MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound78
73
Q3 - 1:09MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 278
73
Q3 - 1:09MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.PN)78
73
Q3 - 1:18MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
73
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot78
73
Q3 - 1:48MEMRandolph 7' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)78
73
Q3 - 1:57MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)78
71
Q3 - 2:08MEMRandolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)78
71
Q3 - 2:24MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers78
71
Q3 - 2:24MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)78
71
Q3 - 2:29MIAJames 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (27 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)78
71
Q3 - 2:46MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)76
71
Q3 - 2:58MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
71
Q3 - 3:09MEMLee Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)74
71
Q3 - 3:09MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.PN)74
70
Q3 - 3:09MEMLee 1' Layup (14 PTS)74
70
Q3 - 3:11MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)74
68
Q3 - 3:28MEMGasol 9' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)74
68
Q3 - 3:53MIAHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)74
66
Q3 - 4:05MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
66
Q3 - 4:05MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
65
Q3 - 4:05MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 271
65
Q3 - 4:05MIAHamilton S.FOUL (P3.PN)71
65
Q3 - 4:13MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh71
65
Q3 - 4:13MEMSUB: Allen FOR Johnson71
65
Q3 - 4:13MIABosh P.FOUL (P4.T4)71
65
Q3 - 4:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
65
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
65
Q3 - 4:32MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)71
65
Q3 - 4:41MIASUB: Allen FOR Douglas71
65
Q3 - 4:49MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
65
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
65
Q3 - 5:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
65
Q3 - 5:11MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot71
65
Q3 - 5:23MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)71
65
Q3 - 5:23MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
65
Q3 - 5:24MIALee BLOCK (1 BLK)71
65
Q3 - 5:36MEMJohnson Violation:Kicked Ball71
65
Q3 - 5:52MIA71
65
Q3 - 5:52MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)71
65
Q3 - 5:52MEMConley 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
65
Q3 - 5:53MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
63
Q3 - 5:56MEMMISS Conley 10' Floating Jump Shot71
63
Q3 - 6:13MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
63
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS James 21' Pullup Jump Shot71
63
Q3 - 6:34MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
63
Q3 - 6:36MEMMISS Gasol 1' Reverse Layup71
63
Q3 - 6:41MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)71
63
Q3 - 6:41MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound71
63
Q3 - 6:41MEMMISS Johnson 3' Reverse Layup71
63
Q3 - 6:43MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
63
Q3 - 6:45MEMMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
63
Q3 - 6:50MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
63
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot71
63
Q3 - 6:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
63
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers Layup71
63
Q3 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
63
Q3 - 7:09MEMMISS Gasol 1' Layup71
63
Q3 - 7:10MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
63
Q3 - 7:11MEMMISS Conley 1' Running Layup71
63
Q3 - 7:27MIAJames Backcourt Turnover (P2.T7)71
63
Q3 - 7:38MEMLee Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)71
63
Q3 - 8:02MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)71
63
Q3 - 8:26MEMRandolph 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS)69
63
Q3 - 8:28MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
61
Q3 - 8:28MEMMISS Conley 17' Jump Shot69
61
Q3 - 8:42MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)69
61
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)69
61
Q3 - 8:54MEMConley Personal Take Foul (P1.T3)67
61
Q3 - 8:56MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
61
Q3 - 8:58MEMMISS Randolph 5' Turnaround Jump Shot67
61
Q3 - 9:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
61
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot67
61
Q3 - 9:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
61
Q3 - 9:16MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot67
61
Q3 - 9:33MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Douglas 5 AST)67
61
Q3 - 9:49MEMJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
61
Q3 - 9:49MEMJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
60
Q3 - 9:49MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)64
59
Q3 - 10:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
59
Q3 - 10:04MEM63
59
Q3 - 10:04MEMJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2)63
59
Q3 - 10:04MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
59
Q3 - 10:24MEMConley 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 10:43MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
57
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Battier 7' Running Jump Shot60
57
Q3 - 11:16MEMLee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)60
57
Q3 - 11:38MIAChalmers 11' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)60
54
Q3 - 11:44MEMGasol P.FOUL (P2.T1)58
54
Q3 - 12:0058
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM58
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound58
54
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Johnson 63' 3PT Jump Shot58
54
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
54
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
54
Q2 - 0:19.0MEMSUB: Allen FOR Randolph58
54
Q2 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Allen FOR Battier58
54
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)58
54
Q2 - 0:21.0MEMJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
54
Q2 - 0:21.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound58
53
Q2 - 0:21.0MEMMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 258
53
Q2 - 0:21.0MIABattier S.FOUL (P2.T4)58
53
Q2 - 0:27.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
53
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
53
Q2 - 0:45.0MEMConley 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
53
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJames Dunk (16 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)58
51
Q2 - 1:03MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)56
51
Q2 - 1:05MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
51
Q2 - 1:07MEMMISS Conley 2' Layup56
51
Q2 - 1:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
51
Q2 - 1:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
51
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Bosh Layup56
51
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot56
51
Q2 - 1:18MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
51
Q2 - 1:21MIAJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)56
51
Q2 - 1:45MEMGasol 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)56
51
Q2 - 1:56MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
49
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot56
49
Q2 - 2:15MEMLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)56
49
Q2 - 2:38MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
46
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 256
46
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
46
Q2 - 2:39MEMSUB: Lee FOR Miller55
46
Q2 - 2:39MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)55
46
Q2 - 2:39MEMJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN)55
46
Q2 - 2:42MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)55
46
Q2 - 3:07MIABosh Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)55
46
Q2 - 3:24MEMJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)53
46
Q2 - 3:43MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)53
44
Q2 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
44
Q2 - 4:07MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 251
44
Q2 - 4:07MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Allen51
44
Q2 - 4:07MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
44
Q2 - 4:07MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T3)51
43
Q2 - 4:10MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
43
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
43
Q2 - 4:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
43
Q2 - 4:23MEMMISS Miller 28' 3PT Jump Shot51
43
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)51
43
Q2 - 4:49MEMSUB: Randolph FOR Davis49
43
Q2 - 4:49MIASUB: Battier FOR Lewis49
43
Q2 - 4:49MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)49
43
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound49
43
Q2 - 4:49MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)49
43
Q2 - 5:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
43
Q2 - 5:04MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
43
Q2 - 5:17MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
43
Q2 - 5:34MEMGasol 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)47
43
Q2 - 5:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
41
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 6:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
41
Q2 - 6:05MEMMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 247
41
Q2 - 6:05MEMDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 6:05MIA47
40
Q2 - 6:05MIALewis S.FOUL (P1.T2)47
40
Q2 - 6:35MIALewis 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)47
40
Q2 - 6:49MEMConley 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)45
40
Q2 - 7:11MIAJames Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS)45
38
Q2 - 7:24MIASUB: James FOR Chalmers43
38
Q2 - 7:24MEMDavis P.FOUL (P1.T4)43
38
Q2 - 7:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
38
Q2 - 7:34MEMMISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot43
38
Q2 - 7:46MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
38
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot43
38
Q2 - 8:02MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
38
Q2 - 8:03MEMMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot43
38
Q2 - 8:11MIASUB: Bosh FOR Hamilton43
38
Q2 - 8:11MEMSUB: Conley FOR Calathes43
38
Q2 - 8:1143
38
Q2 - 8:26MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)43
38
Q2 - 8:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
38
Q2 - 8:45MEMMISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot40
38
Q2 - 8:54MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
38
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Chalmers Reverse Layup40
38
Q2 - 9:07MEMGasol P.FOUL (P1.T3)40
38
Q2 - 9:15MEMSUB: Johnson FOR Allen40
38
Q2 - 9:15MEMCalathes P.FOUL (P2.T2)40
38
Q2 - 9:35MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
38
Q2 - 9:35MEMDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS)40
38
Q2 - 9:37MEMDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
36
Q2 - 9:37MEMMISS Davis 1' Tip Shot40
36
Q2 - 9:39MEMMISS Gasol 12' Running Hook Shot40
36
Q2 - 9:59MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)40
36
Q2 - 10:12MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
36
Q2 - 10:12MIAHamilton S.FOUL (P2.T1)37
35
Q2 - 10:12MEMGasol 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
35
Q2 - 10:25MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
33
Q2 - 10:25MEMSUB: Davis FOR Randolph36
33
Q2 - 10:25MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Koufos36
33
Q2 - 10:25MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
33
Q2 - 10:25MEMCalathes S.FOUL (P1.T1)35
33
Q2 - 10:30MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
33
Q2 - 10:31MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
33
Q2 - 10:44MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
33
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Cole 18' Pullup Jump Shot35
33
Q2 - 11:13MEMRandolph 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
33
Q2 - 11:34MIAAllen 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
31
Q2 - 12:0032
31
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM32
31
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound32
31
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Allen 66' 3PT Jump Shot32
31
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)32
31
Q1 - 0:05.0MEMAllen Personal Take Foul (P2.T4)32
31
Q1 - 0:19.0MEMRandolph 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)32
31
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHamilton Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)32
29
Q1 - 0:58.0MEMKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
29
Q1 - 0:58.0MEMSUB: Calathes FOR Conley30
28
Q1 - 0:58.0MEMKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
28
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
27
Q1 - 1:12MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)30
27
Q1 - 1:35MEMRandolph 1' Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)27
27
Q1 - 1:36MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
25
Q1 - 1:37MEMMISS Koufos 6' Hook Shot27
25
Q1 - 1:51MEMSUB: Koufos FOR Gasol27
25
Q1 - 1:51MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh27
25
Q1 - 1:51MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)27
25
Q1 - 2:05MEMConley 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
25
Q1 - 2:21MIASUB: Cole FOR Douglas27
23
Q1 - 2:21MIADouglas Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)27
23
Q1 - 2:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23
Q1 - 2:37MEMMISS Allen 4' Running Jump Shot27
23
Q1 - 3:00MIAJames 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)27
23
Q1 - 3:13MEMRandolph Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)25
23
Q1 - 3:29MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Douglas 4 AST)25
21
Q1 - 3:35MEMAllen P.FOUL (P1.T3)23
21
Q1 - 3:41MIASUB: Allen FOR Chalmers23
21
Q1 - 3:41MIASUB: Lewis FOR Battier23
21
Q1 - 3:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
21
Q1 - 3:50MEMRandolph 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)23
21
Q1 - 4:11MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)23
18
Q1 - 4:17MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
18
Q1 - 4:26MIAConley STEAL (1 STL)23
18
Q1 - 4:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
18
Q1 - 4:44MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 123
18
Q1 - 4:44MIABattier S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
18
Q1 - 4:44MEMRandolph 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)23
18
Q1 - 4:45MEMSUB: Allen FOR Johnson23
16
Q1 - 4:56MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)23
16
Q1 - 5:01MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
16
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Douglas 5' Running Jump Shot20
16
Q1 - 5:12MEMJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
16
Q1 - 5:20MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
16
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot20
16
Q1 - 5:46MEMRandolph 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)20
16
Q1 - 5:55MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
14
Q1 - 5:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
14
Q1 - 5:59MIAJames 1' Putback Reverse Dunk (5 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 6:01MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
14
Q1 - 6:06MEMJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
14
Q1 - 6:11MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
14
Q1 - 6:26MEMLee P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
14
Q1 - 6:40MEMConley 17' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 7:06MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)18
12
Q1 - 7:21MEMLee Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)15
12
Q1 - 7:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
12
Q1 - 7:48MIAChalmers 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 7:50MIARandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)13
12
Q1 - 8:03MEMRandolph L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)13
12
Q1 - 8:03MIAHeat Rebound13
12
Q1 - 8:04MEMMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup13
12
Q1 - 8:12MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 8:34MEMLee 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 8:54MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)10
10
Q1 - 9:18MEMGasol 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)7
10
Q1 - 9:24MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)7
8
Q1 - 9:26MEMLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
8
Q1 - 9:40MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS James 19' Pullup Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 9:51MEMLee 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 10:18MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 10:29MEMLee 11' Pullup Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 10:49MIAChalmers Running Layup (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 11:14MEMRandolph 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 11:27MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:41MEMRandolph 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Bosh: Tip to Randolph0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.29 64.6%
MEM
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
24
58%
MEM
23
34
68%
Midrange
MIA
9
24
38%
MEM
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
25
60%
90%
MEM
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
11
12
92%
MEM
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3771%18.5 / 26
R. Lewis1794%8.5 / 9
C. Bosh1346%6.5 / 14
M. Chalmers1255%6.0 / 11
S. Battier975%4.5 / 6
R. Allen675%3.0 / 4
J. Hamilton5125%2.5 / 2
N. Cole338%1.5 / 4
T. Douglas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley2668%13.0 / 19
Z. Randolph2583%12.5 / 15
M. Gasol2053%10.0 / 19
C. Lee1882%9.0 / 11
T. Allen643%3.0 / 7
J. Johnson536%2.5 / 7
E. Davis350%1.5 / 3
N. Calathes2100%1.0 / 1
K. Koufos250%1.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+7
-15
77
MEM
74
+15
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.29 64.6%
MEM
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.7
MIA 120.0
MEM 121.6 +1.6
Pace
91.5
89.6
MIA 86.0
MEM 87.9 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
MIA 16.7
MEM 16.4 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
49.4%
MIA 62.3% +2.7%
MEM 59.6%
TO %
15.4%
14.3%
MIA 16.1%
MEM 13.8% −2.3%
ORB %
20.6%
28.3%
MIA 17.1%
MEM 36.4% +19.3%
FTrt
30.0
24.8
MIA 16.4
MEM 26.9 +10.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
57.4%
MIA 63.2% +9.7%
MEM 53.5%
STL %
9.7%
8.5%
MIA 12.9% +1.5%
MEM 11.4%
BLK %
8.1%
7.9%
MIA 3.4%
MEM 12.5% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
51.3%
MIA 64.6% +4.5%
MEM 60.1%
Rim FG%
66.7%
57.9%
MIA 58.3%
MEM 67.6% +9.3%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.5%
MIA 37.5%
MEM 54.2% +16.7%
3P %
36.4%
35.3%
MIA 60.0% +25.0%
MEM 35.0%
FT %
76.0%
74.1%
MIA 91.7% +25.0%
MEM 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
39.2%
MIA 32.9%
MEM 43.6% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
43.8%
MIA 32.9%
MEM 30.8% −2.1%
3P Att. %
29.2%
17.1%
MIA 34.2% +8.6%
MEM 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8588
Possession Minutes23.724.0
Points102107
Rebounds2741
Assists2423
Steals1110
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)29 (0)
Field Goals38-7343-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2423-34
Midrange FG9-2413-24
2-Point FG23-4836-58
3-Point FG15-257-20
Free Throws11-1214-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
41.4
37
71%
6
5
2
0
5
1
1
5
6-7
86%
11-18
61%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
35.8
12
55%
4
3
1
0
1
4
2
2
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
35.3
13
46%
6
0
2
2
4
5
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
23.6
9
75%
3
1
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
17.0
0
0%
1
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
25.5
6
75%
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
24.7
3
38%
4
5
0
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
24.0
17
94%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
12.7
5
125%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
65%
27
24
11
2
15
0
6
21
11-12
92%
23-48
48%
15-25
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.