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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Heat44%94102
11Grizzlies56%96107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.3
41
36
37
6
5
2
1
0
5
1
5
6-7
86%
11-18
7-12
61%
57%
3-5
60%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
36
29
12
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
35
32
13
6
0
2
1
2
4
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
53%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
24
18
9
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
17
22
0
1
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
25
24
6
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
2-4
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
25
23
3
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
24
18
17
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
4-6
67%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
13
3
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.8
16
0
2-3
62%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
16
0
2-3
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
9
0
0-1
35%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
4
0
1-2
46%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.2
45
30
20
14
3
2
1
1
2
3
11
4-7
57%
8-16
6-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.7
42
29
25
11
2
1
1
1
3
3
8
0-1
0%
11-13
6-12
85%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
41
31
26
3
6
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
7-11
5-10
64%
48%
3-7
43%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.5
37
27
18
1
3
0
1
1
4
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
3-5
60%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
24
17
5
4
3
1
1
3
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.2
24
15
6
2
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
9
17
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-2
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.2
8
16
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
6
15
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.1
3
14
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
7
0
1-1
47%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.9
6
0
1-2
52%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
5
0
0-1
46%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.