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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets54%108116
19Nuggets46%107123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.6
26
34
10
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
8-8
100%
1-5
5-9
20%
51%
0-4
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
24
29
12
12
1
0
1
0
2
2
10
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
53%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.6
24
29
18
1
6
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
4-6
67%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.5
23
34
16
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
2-4
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.2
17
26
11
4
1
2
1
1
0
2
2
0-1
0%
4-7
5-9
57%
57%
1-1
100%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
30
7
11
8
1
2
0
1
1
3
5
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
30
18
11
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.9
24
21
6
3
6
2
1
2
4
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-8
13%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
12
13
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
11
5
12
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
4-6
67%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
11
2
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.3
9
23
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.7
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.4
40
23
9
8
2
1
1
4
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-11
2-5
27%
46%
1-4
25%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.5
38
32
30
5
15
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
6-10
60%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.2
37
35
13
5
7
2
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
26
29
23
9
1
0
1
0
3
1
8
1-2
50%
11-17
7-13
65%
56%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.7
25
25
22
6
1
0
0
2
0
0
6
4-4
100%
9-12
4-8
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.4
27
26
14
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 24.0
23
18
6
6
3
3
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
18
19
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.7
5
7
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.4
21
1
2-5
49%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.9
9
0
1-2
49%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.6
7
0
1-3
53%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.9
5
0
1-1
47%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.