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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
109
6Mavericks
100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
39
23
20
15
2
1
1
1
3
4
11
6-9
67%
7-12
5-10
58%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
37
28
16
16
5
2
1
0
2
6
10
4-5
80%
3-8
4-7
38%
58%
2-6
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
36
21
26
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-14
3-5
21%
52%
6-11
55%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
28
17
12
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
55%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
22
23
15
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
5-9
56%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.7
29
18
10
2
7
2
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
20
24
7
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
20
23
0
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
8
17
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
1
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
14
0
1-2
51%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.3
5
0
1-2
49%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.5
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.5
38
35
24
4
4
1
2
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
10-21
5-12
48%
47%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
34
32
19
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
3-5
60%
8-14
5-10
57%
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
29
31
12
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
51%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
28
28
14
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
20
23
2
11
1
0
1
1
0
4
7
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
27
19
8
2
4
3
1
1
2
0
2
5-6
83%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
27
22
6
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
17
14
8
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-4
67%
61%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
9
14
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.0
8
10
5
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.