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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards62%10196
28Magic38%9686
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
37.1
34.2
10
43%
5
12
0
2
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-5
6-12
60%
47%
0-5
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.8
35.4
35.6
16
56%
4
1
3
1
0
1
2
2
6-10
60%
2-5
5-11
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
30.9
33.9
12
44%
6
3
0
1
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
4-12
6-12
33%
55%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
28.1
25.5
14
70%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
27.5
31.9
8
37%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.9
25.8
3.6
9
43%
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
6
1-1
100%
4-8
0-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
19.9
22.1
17
62%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
3-6
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.1
17.0
6.5
9
51%
9
0
1
0
0
1
2
7
3-4
75%
3-5
1-1
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.1
10.9
11.8
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.4
7.5
22.4
1
17%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.9
0.0
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.5
16.1
0
3-5
47%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.3
4.5
0
1-2
50%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.4
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.2
34.0
26.2
12
34%
7
11
2
1
0
4
2
5
2-4
50%
5-11
2-5
45%
46%
0-5
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
31.2
29.5
19
57%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
30.4
28.2
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
24.9
17.0
4
25%
10
1
1
0
1
1
4
6
2-2
100%
1-7
2-3
14%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
24.5
25.9
13
60%
9
1
0
1
3
1
2
7
1-4
25%
6-9
4-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
24.4
25.0
10
63%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
51%
0-2
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
22.1
19.6
4
25%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
19.1
15.1
11
110%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
3-4
75%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.9
16.0
23.1
6
60%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.1
13.3
17.6
5
54%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.5
10.7
0
2-4
52%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
4.0
0
0-1
40%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.