Final Win Prob. pScore
2125%91
86
475%100
98
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
104.98282.5
MIA logo Heat
115.38585.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDCopeland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Lewis FOR Allen83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Chalmers83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Douglas FOR Bosh83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Haslem83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR James83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0INDSUB: Watson FOR G. Hill83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0INDSUB: Sloan FOR Stephenson83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0INDSUB: Butler FOR Hibbert83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0INDSUB: Allen FOR George83
98
Q4 - 0:32.0INDPacers Rebound83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 183
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.PN)83
98
Q4 - 0:57.0INDGeorge 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)83
98
Q4 - 1:10MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAAllen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10INDStephenson 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41INDMISS Copeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJames 6' Jump Hook Shot (36 PTS)79
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 3:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)79
91
Q4 - 3:17INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:17INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)78
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:17MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)77
91
Q4 - 3:19MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)77
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:21MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole77
91
Q4 - 3:21INDSUB: Copeland FOR West77
91
Q4 - 3:21INDWest P.FOUL (P6.T4)77
91
Q4 - 3:40INDStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40INDStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)76
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.PN)75
91
Q4 - 3:54MIAJames 1' Layup (34 PTS)75
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup75
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08INDWest 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (George 5 AST)75
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:32INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAHEAT Rebound73
89
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33INDWest S.FOUL (P5.T3)73
89
Q4 - 4:55INDWest 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (George 4 AST)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAJames 1' Dunk (32 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17INDCole STEAL (2 STL)71
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers71
87
Q4 - 5:25MIASUB: James FOR Lewis71
87
Q4 - 5:25MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P5.T4)71
87
Q4 - 5:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Driving Hook Shot71
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot71
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:12INDMISS Stephenson 18' Jump Shot71
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)71
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52INDWest 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:09INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Tip Shot69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:51INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:51INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 7:51MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T3)67
85
Q4 - 8:05INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Watson67
85
Q4 - 8:05INDSUB: G. Hill FOR Mahinmi67
85
Q4 - 8:05INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)67
85
Q4 - 8:05MIALewis 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 8:09INDChalmers STEAL (2 STL)67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 8:23MIAChalmers 8' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 8:33MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 8:34INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 8:49MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)67
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 8:49INDSUB: West FOR Scola67
80
Q4 - 8:49INDSUB: Stephenson FOR Turner67
80
Q4 - 8:49MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)67
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 8:49INDWatson S.FOUL (P2.T2)67
79
Q4 - 8:53MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 8:54INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 9:12MIAHaslem Dunk (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)67
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 9:27MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole67
77
Q4 - 9:27INDTurner P.FOUL (P1.T1)67
77
Q4 - 9:37MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)67
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 9:37INDTurner T.FOUL (P0.T0)67
76
Q4 - 9:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)67
76
Q4 - 9:38INDWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q4 - 9:43INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot64
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 9:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 9:58INDBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)64
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 10:08INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 10:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 10:19INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot64
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 10:29INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot64
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 10:50INDScola 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (George 3 AST)64
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen62
76
Q4 - 11:03MIACole P.FOUL (P3.T2)62
76
Q4 - 11:20INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 11:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 11:34INDMISS Turner 9' Floating Jump Shot62
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 11:44MIAAndersen P.FOUL (P4.T1)62
76
Q4 - 12:0062
76
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot62
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDMISS George 29' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)62
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)62
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P3.PN)61
76
Q3 - 0:44.0INDGeorge 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
76
Q3 - 0:57.0INDPacers Rebound59
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 1:18INDTurner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)59
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)56
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 1:42INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:42INDSUB: Turner FOR G. Hill55
76
Q3 - 1:42INDSUB: Mahinmi FOR Hibbert55
76
Q3 - 1:42INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:42MIACole S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
76
Q3 - 1:56MIAJames 15' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)54
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 2:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 2:07INDMISS Hibbert 7' Hook Shot54
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 2:26MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS)54
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 2:49INDHibbert 2' Layup (5 PTS) (George 2 AST)54
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 2:56MIALewis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)52
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:21INDLewis STEAL (1 STL)52
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:35MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)52
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 3:35MIAHEAT Rebound52
71
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 252
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 3:35INDScola P.FOUL (P3.PN)52
71
Q3 - 3:35MIASUB: Cole FOR Douglas52
71
Q3 - 3:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)52
71
Q3 - 3:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 3:41INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 152
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 3:41MIASUB: Allen FOR Chalmers52
71
Q3 - 3:41MIASUB: Lewis FOR Bosh52
71
Q3 - 3:41MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P2.PN)52
71
Q3 - 3:41INDGeorge 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)52
71
Q3 - 3:48INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup50
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 4:08INDHibbert 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)50
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 4:29MIADouglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 4:53INDScola 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)48
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 5:03MIABosh Violation:Kicked Ball46
68
Q3 - 5:09MIADouglas P.FOUL (P2.T4)46
68
Q3 - 5:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)46
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)46
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 5:16INDScola P.FOUL (P2.PN)46
66
Q3 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound46
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Andersen 2' Driving Layup46
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 5:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 5:26INDBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)46
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 5:45MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)46
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 5:45INDSUB: Watson FOR Stephenson46
65
Q3 - 5:45MIAHEAT Rebound46
65
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 246
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 5:45INDScola S.FOUL (P1.T4)46
65
Q3 - 6:00MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending46
65
Q3 - 6:00INDScola 1' Layup (8 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)46
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIASUB: Andersen FOR Haslem44
65
Q3 - 6:09INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)44
65
Q3 - 6:09MIADouglas 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)44
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 6:15INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)44
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 6:29MIAChalmers 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)44
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 6:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 6:39INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot44
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5)44
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 6:58MIAChalmers Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T3)44
61
Q3 - 7:15INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 7:15INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T2)42
61
Q3 - 7:33MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)42
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 7:52INDSUB: Scola FOR West42
59
Q3 - 7:52INDWest P.FOUL (P4.T3)42
59
Q3 - 7:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q3 - 7:59INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot42
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 8:13INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)42
59
Q3 - 8:16MIAHaslem 2' Layup (9 PTS)42
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)42
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup42
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q3 - 8:21INDJames STEAL (1 STL)42
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 8:38MIAHaslem Tip Shot (7 PTS)42
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup42
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q3 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q3 - 8:46INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 8:46INDMISS West 1' Tip Shot42
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q3 - 8:47INDMISS West 7' Jump Shot42
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q3 - 9:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)42
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 9:08INDStephenson S.FOUL (P3.T2)42
54
Q3 - 9:08MIAJames 8' Driving Bank Shot (21 PTS)42
54
Q3 - 9:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 9:12INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot42
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q3 - 9:33INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS James 12' Pullup Jump Shot42
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q3 - 9:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 9:52INDMISS Hibbert 9' Turnaround Hook Shot42
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q3 - 10:11INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)42
52
Q3 - 10:12MIADouglas 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q3 - 10:16INDDouglas STEAL (1 STL)42
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q3 - 10:30MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)42
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q3 - 10:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q3 - 10:44INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot42
9.2%
50
90.8%
Q3 - 11:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)42
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q3 - 11:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)42
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q3 - 11:01INDWest S.FOUL (P3.T1)42
48
Q3 - 11:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q3 - 11:04INDMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot42
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q3 - 11:14MIADouglas P.FOUL (P1.T1)42
48
Q3 - 11:37MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)42
13.0%
48
87.0%
Q3 - 11:49INDG. Hill Violation:Kicked Ball42
45
Q3 - 12:0042
45
Q2 - 0:00.0IND42
16.4%
45
83.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDHibbert S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
43
Q2 - 0:07.0INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)42
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)39
43
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T3)39
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P1)39
43
Q2 - 0:39.0INDStephenson Foul Turnover (P3.T10)39
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDStephenson Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)39
43
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)39
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)39
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDHibbert S.FOUL (P1.PN)39
41
Q2 - 0:57.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Battier39
41
Q2 - 0:57.0INDStephenson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)39
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)39
20.4%
41
79.6%
Q2 - 1:39INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)39
23.3%
39
76.7%
Q2 - 1:49INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 1:50INDMISS West 20' Jump Shot36
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 2:11INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
18.6%
39
81.4%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 236
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 2:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)36
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 2:12INDWest S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
38
Q2 - 2:16INDAllen STEAL (2 STL)36
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 2:28INDPacers Rebound36
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 2:28MIAJump Ball James vs. Hibbert: Tip to West36
38
Q2 - 2:28INDMISS George 1' Tip Shot36
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 2:29INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 2:30INDMISS Stephenson 21' Jump Shot36
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 2:46MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers36
38
Q2 - 2:46MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T2)36
38
Q2 - 2:53INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
38
Q2 - 2:58MIAChalmers 9' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 236
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 3:07MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 3:07INDG. Hill P.FOUL (P1.PN)36
35
Q2 - 3:24INDGeorge Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)36
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 3:33MIASUB: Allen FOR Cole36
35
Q2 - 3:33INDSUB: G. Hill FOR Watson36
35
Q2 - 3:33MIABattier P.FOUL (P1.T1)36
35
Q2 - 3:42INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Driving Jump Shot36
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q2 - 3:55INDGeorge P.FOUL (P2.T4)36
35
Q2 - 4:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 4:01INDMISS Stephenson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 4:13INDSUB: West FOR Scola36
35
Q2 - 4:13INDSUB: George FOR Turner36
35
Q2 - 4:13MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh36
35
Q2 - 4:25INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot36
25.6%
35
74.4%
Q2 - 4:52INDStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 5:08MIABosh 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)36
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 5:31INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 5:51MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 5:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
26.1%
31
73.9%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup33
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 6:00MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen33
31
Q2 - 6:00MIASUB: James FOR Lewis33
31
Q2 - 6:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
31
Q2 - 6:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Lewis 3' Hook Shot33
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q2 - 6:29INDScola 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q2 - 6:30INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 6:31INDMISS Watson 2' Driving Layup31
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q2 - 6:35INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup31
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 6:47INDMISS Watson 12' Floating Jump Shot31
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q2 - 7:11MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 7:31INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Mahinmi31
29
Q2 - 7:31INDMahinmi L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)31
29
Q2 - 7:31MIAHEAT Rebound31
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Lewis 9' Turnaround Hook Shot31
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q2 - 7:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 7:44INDMISS Turner 2' Driving Layup31
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 7:54MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Allen31
29
Q2 - 7:5431
29
Q2 - 8:03INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
27.2%
29
72.8%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Andersen 4' Jump Shot31
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 8:28INDWatson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)31
25.1%
29
74.9%
Q2 - 8:33MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 8:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q2 - 8:54INDMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot29
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q2 - 9:17MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS)29
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 9:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup29
26.0%
27
74.0%
Q2 - 9:38INDScola 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)29
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q2 - 9:53INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot27
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 10:04INDCole STEAL (1 STL)27
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
23.0%
27
77.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q2 - 10:16INDMahinmi S.FOUL (P2.T2)27
25
Q2 - 10:34INDStephenson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q2 - 10:58INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
23.0%
25
77.0%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Lewis 2' Layup25
22.4%
25
77.6%
Q2 - 11:00MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Allen 9' Driving Jump Shot25
22.3%
25
77.7%
Q2 - 11:17INDWatson L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)25
25
Q2 - 11:17MIAHEAT Rebound25
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot25
22.3%
25
77.7%
Q2 - 11:33INDScola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIABosh 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)25
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q2 - 12:0025
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDSUB: Scola FOR West24
23
Q1 - 0:01.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P1.PN)23
23
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)23
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)23
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDGeorge P.FOUL (P1.PN)23
21
Q1 - 0:39.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDSUB: Watson FOR G. Hill22
21
Q1 - 0:39.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIALewis P.FOUL (P1.PN)21
21
Q1 - 0:46.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 1:11INDMahinmi 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)21
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 1:32INDMahinmi S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
19
Q1 - 1:49INDAllen STEAL (1 STL)19
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIACole P.FOUL (P1.T3)19
19
Q1 - 1:58INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
22.3%
19
77.7%
Q1 - 1:59INDMISS Turner 3' Layup19
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 2:15INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Lewis 1' Driving Layup19
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 2:34INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
19
Q1 - 2:34MIAHEAT Rebound19
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 2:35INDAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)19
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q1 - 2:46INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot19
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 3:05MIASUB: Andersen FOR Haslem19
19
Q1 - 3:05INDMahinmi 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)19
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 3:23MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)19
22.3%
19
77.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIASUB: Lewis FOR Bosh19
16
Q1 - 3:36MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers19
16
Q1 - 3:36INDSUB: Turner FOR Stephenson19
16
Q1 - 3:36INDSUB: Mahinmi FOR Hibbert19
16
Q1 - 3:36INDWest P.FOUL (P1.T2)19
16
Q1 - 3:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 3:47INDMISS West 18' Jump Shot19
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 3:57MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)19
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 4:11INDWest 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)19
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 4:25INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot17
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 4:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 4:44INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 4:50MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
14
Q1 - 4:58INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 5:09INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 5:09INDPacers Rebound16
14
Q1 - 5:09INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 216
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)16
14
Q1 - 5:33MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 5:47MIASUB: Allen FOR Douglas16
12
Q1 - 5:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
12
Q1 - 5:48INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 6:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Floating Jump Shot13
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 6:18INDWest 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 6:37MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 6:53INDWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (George 1 AST)11
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 7:15MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)9
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 7:39MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 7:40INDJames BLOCK (1 BLK)9
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 7:56INDStephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)9
23.0%
7
77.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
21.3%
7
78.7%
Q1 - 8:25INDStephenson P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
5
Q1 - 8:41INDGeorge 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)6
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 8:56INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup4
21.5%
5
78.5%
Q1 - 9:06INDStephenson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
21.0%
5
79.0%
Q1 - 9:28INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 9:43INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.7%
5
79.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)2
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 10:38INDWest 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)2
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 10:50INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 11:02INDMISS West 4' Jump Shot0
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 11:22MIAJames 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 11:41INDHaslem STEAL (1 STL)0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to West0
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
20
55%
MIA
14
31
45%
Midrange
IND
12
31
39%
MIA
15
28
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
IND
16
19
84%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2258%11.0 / 19
D. West1860%9.0 / 15
L. Scola1267%6.0 / 9
L. Stephenson1169%5.5 / 8
C. Watson1083%5.0 / 6
R. Hibbert531%2.5 / 8
E. Turner330%1.5 / 5
C. Copeland375%1.5 / 2
I. Mahinmi2100%1.0 / 1
G. Hill0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3669%18.0 / 26
M. Chalmers1346%6.5 / 14
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
C. Bosh1050%5.0 / 10
R. Allen1063%5.0 / 8
T. Douglas7117%3.5 / 3
C. Andersen542%2.5 / 6
N. Cole350%1.5 / 3
R. Lewis317%1.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
66
+6
-16
72
MIA
76
+15
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
110.7
IND 104.9
MIA 115.3 +10.4
Pace
92.2
91.5
IND 82.5
MIA 85.0 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.8
IND 17.5
MIA 16.9 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
55.4%
IND 53.8% +3.1%
MIA 50.7%
TO %
15.6%
15.4%
IND 17.9%
MIA 9.3% −8.6%
ORB %
24.9%
20.6%
IND 14.7%
MIA 29.7% +15.0%
FTrt
29.0
30.0
IND 29.2
MIA 37.3 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.0%
58.8%
IND 64.5% +24.5%
MIA 40.0%
STL %
7.3%
9.7%
IND 6.1%
MIA 11.8% +5.7%
BLK %
8.5%
8.1%
IND 5.1%
MIA 7.8% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
57.5%
IND 58.1% +4.3%
MIA 53.8%
Rim FG%
56.4%
66.7%
IND 55.0% +9.8%
MIA 45.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
42.8%
IND 38.7%
MIA 53.6% +14.9%
3P %
35.7%
36.4%
IND 57.1% +19.6%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
77.9%
76.0%
IND 84.2% +5.6%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
38.3%
IND 30.8%
MIA 41.3% +10.6%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
32.5%
IND 47.7%
MIA 37.3% −10.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
29.2%
IND 21.5% +0.2%
MIA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8285
Possession Minutes23.924.0
Points8698
Rebounds3140
Assists2014
Steals510
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)29 (1)
Field Goals31-6535-75
At-the-Rim FG11-2014-31
Midrange FG12-3115-28
2-Point FG23-5129-59
3-Point FG8-146-16
Free Throws16-1922-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
39.7
22
58%
5
5
2
0
4
2
2
3
5-7
71%
4-9
44%
3-8
38%
G · 6'6" 230 · 24
34.9
11
69%
4
3
1
0
4
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
C · 7'2" 270 · 27
33.8
5
31%
1
2
0
2
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
32.7
0
0%
0
4
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
25.8
18
60%
8
1
0
1
1
6
1
7
4-4
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
19.3
10
83%
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 241 · 34
18.9
12
67%
5
1
0
0
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25
16.3
3
30%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
13.7
2
100%
5
1
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 239 · 30
3.4
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 26
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 35
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#17 · C · 7'0" 285 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
58%
31
20
5
3
16
0
5
26
16-19
84%
23-51
45%
8-14
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.