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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Warriors65%109112
25Lakers35%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
36.6
29.8
16
47%
3
4
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-5
40%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
2-6
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.1
34.7
31.7
30
72%
10
12
2
1
0
6
0
10
2-2
100%
8-15
5-9
53%
51%
4-5
80%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
31.6
26.2
9
65%
7
2
4
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-2
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.4
23.3
21.0
4
100%
9
1
0
1
2
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.9
21.6
28.2
8
44%
4
0
1
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.1
30.0
18.6
13
72%
5
5
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
42%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
25.4
8.9
10
39%
10
2
2
0
0
0
4
6
2-2
100%
4-12
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
22.2
17.9
16
67%
8
0
1
0
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.5
14.1
17.3
6
38%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 29.4
0.4
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
24.3
1
2-4
53%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35.5
20.1
0
3-6
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.9
Nemanja Nedovic
G · 6'3" 192 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.7
41.6
24.4
18
46%
12
4
2
0
0
2
4
8
4-4
100%
7-18
5-9
39%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
37.4
26.8
14
59%
11
3
1
1
1
4
2
9
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.6
33.9
35.1
10
32%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
5-8
63%
1-10
4-8
10%
49%
1-2
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
30.1
29.3
8
50%
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
0-3
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
19.1
26.3
7
50%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
1-4
25%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
30.1
23.6
25
60%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
46%
3-8
38%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.4
28.9
17.6
9
38%
3
3
3
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-7
29%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
18.9
21.3
4
69%
7
3
0
0
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.8
15.9
1
2-4
46%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.2
11.8
0
1-3
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.8
9.1
0
2-4
49%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.0
7.8
0
2-4
49%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
5.8
0
1-2
46%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.