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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 13, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder61%9997
18Pacers39%95102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
42.0
33.7
38
61%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
10-10
100%
11-16
7-12
69%
53%
2-11
18%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
33.0
27.8
21
42%
9
7
1
1
0
4
4
5
4-5
80%
4-13
5-12
31%
47%
3-10
30%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
31.9
29.6
11
46%
6
1
3
0
3
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.4
22.6
17.3
2
33%
8
1
1
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
20.8
19.9
0
0%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.1
30.1
22.2
13
65%
1
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
42%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.5
16.1
16.0
0
0%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.7
15.3
18.5
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.0
14.9
25.6
8
82%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
13.1
15.3
4
67%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
10.7
0
1-3
47%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
8.9
0
1-2
47%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.2
4.9
0
0-1
54%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.4
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
41.3
25.6
17
78%
10
11
0
1
1
4
1
9
1-2
50%
5-5
3-6
100%
53%
2-5
40%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
35.7
29.7
20
52%
12
2
0
1
0
1
2
10
5-5
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
3-6
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
33.0
22.9
21
82%
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
9-11
4-8
82%
49%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.3
27.2
27.1
0
0%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-9
4-9
0%
47%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.9
23.2
26.4
3
39%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.0
25.1
16.4
20
79%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
4-7
57%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.4
20.6
16.2
11
95%
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
3-4
75%
4-4
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
19.0
21.7
0
0%
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.0
15.0
20.0
10
71%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.2
11.9
0
1-3
44%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.9
10.9
0
1-1
43%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.2
9.5
0
1-2
46%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.1
8.1
0
1-2
50%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.